The Reverse Forecast: your daily map of what not to do, drawn from the day’s most timely risks in markets, tech, and beyond.

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• New York Post
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The Reverse Forecast — August 17, 2025

• Don’t stake your portfolio on a few hot AI names today. Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq futures are drifting upward ahead of Powell’s Jackson Hole speech, but sectors like AI are showing signs of burnout. Consider trimming exposure instead of chasing the last fireworks. (Investor’s Business Daily) (Investors)
• Don’t ignore Hurricane Erin’s outer bands if you’re near the Caribbean or East Coast. Erin, the season’s first major hurricane, has weakened to Category 4 but is poised to drop rests raining bands over Puerto Rico and the Virgins—flash flooding, landslides and dangerous surf remain serious threats. (New York Post; Economic Times) (New York Post, The Economic Times)
• Don’t stick around without water wings—or a solid shelter—if you’re in the D.C. area. Blistering heat in the low-to-mid 90s with heat index near 100 °F is on deck, with only late-day storms as a slim cooling rescue. (Washington Post) (The Washington Post)
• Don’t underestimate the ripple effect of Hurricane Erin on global air travel. Tropical Storm Watches are in effect for Turks and Caicos—storm-driven advisories could end up rerouting or canceling flights for days. (Economic Times; Fox Weather) (The Economic Times, FOX Weather)

💬 Your move ideas? Yesterday we warned about market complacency—today’s futures are backing that up as investors wait on Powell. Do you think these signals are just noise, or do they change how you’ll approach the week ahead? Share your “wish I’d known” moments or the moves you’re making to sidestep today’s pitfalls.

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